Why CPMs Drop After Christmas — And Why Ecommerce Brands Should Spend More

Saahil Shah

Paid Media Manager
Ecommerce Agency
Dec 18, 2025

For most ecommerce brands, the moment Christmas week ends, budgets get slashed, campaigns get paused, and everyone “waits for January to pick up”.


But this is one of the biggest missed opportunities in paid media.

As an ecommerce marketing agency working across fashion, home & garden, beauty, and lifestyle brands, we see the same trend every year:

CPMs drop sharply after Christmas and brands willing to spend in this window win disproportionately.

Why CPMs Drop After Christmas

1. Advertiser Demand Falls Overnight

From December 26th, paid media becomes a ghost town.

Retail peaks early in the month → budgets get exhausted → finance teams push for cost cuts → advertisers either pause or drastically reduce spend.


Platforms like Meta and Google run on auction-based systems, so the moment demand drops:

Fewer advertisers bidding = cheaper impressions = lower CPMs.

In many accounts, we see CPMs drop 30–60% between 26 Dec – 10 Jan.

2. Consumers Are Still Scrolling. But Ads Are Not

Usage does not drop after Christmas. In fact, it rises.

People are:

  • Off work
  • On their phones more
  • Spending gift money
  • Browsing for Boxing Day and New Year deals

So you end up with higher supply (more available impressions) and lower demand (fewer advertisers competing).


This imbalance drives CPMs down even further.

3. January-Intent Is Real & Underestimated

Shoppers don’t stop wanting things, they simply shift intent.

Common post-Christmas buying categories include:

  • Upgrades & essentials
  • Fitness, wellness, and self-improvement
  • Home refresh items
  • Wardrobe resets
  • “Treat yourself” purchases with gift cards

Brands that stay active capture this early-year demand before CPA rises again in mid-January.

Why Ecommerce Brands Should Spend More

1. It’s the Cheapest Traffic You’ll Buy All Year

Lower CPMs + stable CTR = much cheaper CPCs.

And cheaper CPCs means:

  • More traffic
  • More add-to-carts
  • Larger retargeting pools
  • Lower blended acquisition cost

Even if conversion rates fluctuate, the economics of the funnel become significantly more efficient.

2. Competition Is Weak. A Perfect Time to Gain Market Share

When competitors go dark, your brand gains:

  • Superior reach
  • More impression share
  • Higher visibility on key placements
  • Cheaper remarketing access

This matters especially for categories where consumers compare brands (fashion, furniture, beauty).


A strong presence in this window positions you for Q1 growth.

3. Remarketing Pools Are Fresh & High-Intent

December drives huge volumes of browsing even from shoppers who didn’t convert before Christmas.

Those users:

  • Still want the product
  • Are waiting for the right price
  • Have gift money
  • Are actively checking sales

Running retargeting through early January converts this warm audience for a fraction of the usual cost.

4. Boxing Day & January Sales Still Convert Exceptionally Well

Even with rising privacy constraints, we consistently see one thing across ecommerce accounts:

Post-Christmas sale traffic converts exceptionally well especially when paired with simple, strong offers.

Examples:

  • Price drops
  • Spend-X-get-Y promotions
  • Extra % for email/SMS subscribers
  • “Final sale” messaging

Brands that maintain ad pressure perform significantly better throughout Q1.

How Ecommerce Brands Should Spend (Without Wasting Budget)

1. Keep Meta & Google Budgets On — Don’t Pause Completely

Pausing resets learning and kills cheap momentum.

Recommended:

  • Keep evergreen campaigns running
  • Maintain at least 60–70% of December budgets
  • Increase spend gradually if CPMs remain low

2. Prioritise High-Volume Audiences

Post-Christmas is about scale, not micro-segmentation.

Best performers:

  • Broad Meta audiences
  • High-intent search (Google)
  • Smart Shopping/PMax for product discovery
  • Recent website visitors
  • High-value customer lists

3. Simplify Creative & Offers

This is not the time for complicated ads.

Stick to:

  • Clean product-first ads
  • Strong sale messaging
  • High-contrast creatives
  • Simple offers customers immediately understand

This improves CTR and ensures you take full advantage of cheaper CPMs.

4. Warm Your Funnel for Q1

This is one of the best times of the year to build cost-efficient remarketing pools.

Run:

  • Video view campaigns
  • DPA &Carousel Ads
  • Shopping campaigns
  • Low-CPM awareness formats

You’re essentially buying cheap attention that will convert late January–February.

Final Thoughts

Most ecommerce brands treat post-Christmas as a dead period, but the data says the opposite.

CPMs drop, traffic surges, and the brands who stay live experience some of their cheapest and most profitable acquisition all year.

If you want a strong Q1, this is the moment to invest, not pull back.

Ready to grow your ecommerce brand?